I’m reminded that today would be an appropriate day to honor world-hero Stanislav Yevgrafovich Petrovtoday by Overcoming Bias:
“Petrov decided that, all else being equal, he would prefer not to destroy the world. He sent messages declaring the launch detection a false alarm, based solely on his personal belief that the US did not seem likely to start an attack using only five missiles.”
Hooray! for the man who broke policy & procedure and truly saved the world based on his own estimation of probability.
image is from Madcat’s gallery
September 26, 2007, 2:28pm Comments
